The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing a significant shift in sentiment, as evidenced by the latest drop in the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. This index, which measures the emotional sentiment of investors towards Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, has seen its score plummet by 19 points in just one day, marking its lowest reading since October 14. As of now, the index sits at just 50 out of 100, indicating a transition into the “Neutral” zone after a prolonged period of being in the “Extreme Greed” and “Greed” territories.
Just recently, Bitcoin’s price dipped below the $92,000 mark on January 9, fueled by a report that the United States Department of Justice has been granted permission to sell approximately $6.5 billion worth of Bitcoin that was seized from the infamous Silk Road operation. Although no sales have occurred yet, this potential move has caused ripples of concern among investors, contributing to the downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
Compounding the situation, analysts suggest that expectations surrounding the US Federal Reserve tightening its monetary policy in 2025 could negatively influence both Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Coupled with rising treasury yields and a strengthening US dollar, these factors have placed additional hurdles in Bitcoin’s path, preventing it from maintaining above the critical $100,000 threshold in recent weeks.
Moreover, the recent outflow of nearly $570 million from US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on January 8 points to a growing bearish sentiment among investors. This represents the second-largest outflow witnessed by these funds, raising alarms over the potential for an even deeper retracement as indicated by 10x Research’s founder, Markus Thielen.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index calculates its score based on various metrics, including market volatility (25%), trading volume (25%), social media sentiment (15%), Bitcoin’s dominance (10%), and recent trends (10%). Remarkably, the index reached a high score of 94 out of 100 on November 22, driven largely by positive market reactions to political developments.
As we move further into the year, the state of the cryptocurrency market remains precarious, with investors keeping a close watch on external economic factors and policy shifts.